SPATIAL ANALYSIS AND FACTORS CONTRIBUTING TO DIVORCE IN INDONESIA IN 2024: A QUANTITATIVE STUDY

Abstract

Divorce in Indonesia has transformed from a private issue into a nationwide socio-demographic phenomenon, marked by a consistent upward trend over the past decade. This study aims to analyze the primary factors and geographical distribution of divorce in 34 provinces in Indonesia using court case data from 2024. The increasing divorce rate in Indonesia has become a significant socio-demographic phenomenon, requiring comprehensive empirical analysis to inform policy interventions. Using quantitative methodology, this study applies three levels of analysis: descriptive statistics to identify the national prevalence of each causal factor, data distribution analysis to understand inter-provincial variations, and Pearson correlation analysis to test the relationship between key variables. The results of the analysis reveal three main findings. First, nationally, out of a total of 399,908 cases, "Continuous Disputes and Arguments" was the most dominant factor (62.80%), followed by "Economic" factors (25.06%). Second, there was considerable variation between provinces in the number of cases for each factor, as indicated by high standard deviation values, suggesting significant geographical concentration. Third, correlation analysis shows a robust and statistically significant positive relationship between the factors "Economics" and "Continuous Disputes and Arguments" (r=0.948), as well as with other factors such as "Polygamy" (r=0.909) and "Apostasy" (r=0.886). These findings imply that socio-economic pressures are not only a direct cause but also a catalyst for various other forms of marital conflict. This study recommends reforming premarital counseling programs with a focus on financial literacy and conflict resolution and developing targeted economic support.